Table 4: Posterior summaries for a model with two change-points.
|
|
Mean |
SD |
Lower 95% |
Upper 95% |
|
βo[1] |
-7.59 |
0.7826 |
-9.196 |
-5.954 |
|
βo[2] |
-7.585 |
0.235 |
-8.075 |
-7.125 |
|
βo[3] |
-7.718 |
0.8682 |
-9.433 |
-6.032 |
|
β1[1] |
-0.001627 |
0.09955 |
-0.194 |
0.197 |
|
β1[2] |
-0.01256 |
0.02407 |
-0.06036 |
0.03539 |
|
β1[3] |
-0.00085 |
0.05843 |
-0.1162 |
0.1135 |
|
k1 |
2.104 |
0.9501 |
1.0 |
4.0 |
|
k2 |
16.71 |
0.976 |
15.0 |
18.0 |
|
ζ1 = |
1.327 |
1.161 |
0.06158 |
4.355 |
|
ζ2 = |
7.317 |
2.771 |
2.911 |
13.58 |
|
ζ3 = |
1.744 |
1.375 |
0.1363 |
5.238 |